Sports wagering can be quite profitable if you know the secrets this “smart money” bettors use to consistently make cash. One of the biggest secrets that wise money gamblers use is knowing when NOT to help bet.
Here’s a perfect case in point. My partner and i analyzed this Rest of the world Va vs. Louisville game, and concluded that will West Florida had often the edge in the video game. However , My spouse and i also came to the realization that there was a whole lot of random and unknown factors, and recommended to my clients that they accomplish not gamble on this particular game. Here is the analysis I released just before the game:
West California vs . Louisville
This activity possesses all the indicators of being one regarding the ideal games regarding the year, with both equally teams coming into the action 7-0. It’s #3 placed West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, equally with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s sport was a classic, along with Western world Virginia coming again from becoming down major in the independence day quarter to winning around overtime.
So what’s the game appearance like this year?
When this video game were being played at a new neutral field, West Va will probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since typically the game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make sense…
West Virginia can be on an unprecedented spin. They will haven’t lost considering that April. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they missing to Florida Tech. In the last two months they’re 13-5 ATS as well. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last on the lookout for games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their very last 10 STREET games.
All these are some very amazing stats that tilt the scales in favor regarding WVU for tonight’s games. Plus, typically the extra bonus is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This will likely not seem like substantially, but in a close match-up like this, that spare point might make the big difference between a good push in addition to a loss.
But some of us wonder what regarding Louisville?
Louisville’s statistics are usually almost as good as WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their particular very last 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home activities.
And even if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t lost in your own home since 12 , 17, 2003! During this latest run Louisville is averaging 49. 5 points for every game in your house, while hitting only leaving behind 15. 8 points every game in home. In case an individual failed to do the math, that means considering his or her last home reduction they also have averaged beating their own opposing team by simply about 34 points per game.
Furthermore impressive, the average line in these games has only been recently 21 points. That method Louisville has beaten the pass on, on average, by 13 factors per activity at home since 2003.
Wow… how can you not in favor of that?
Here’s the way…
Nearly all of those stats have been piled up during the june 2006 season. In 2010, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to great than great. They are yet to got recent games in which they also have only scored twenty-eight, twenty-three, 24 points. And the online games weren’t against Oh St. or Michigan. They will ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St.
To put it succinctly that this is still some sort of close game to call up. Nonetheless what I look regarding is West Virginia’s security to carry the day time. If UFABET , Syracuse, and Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s virtually no explanation to think WVU can’t hold them to typically the low to middle of the 20’s. My honest endorsement is usually to lay off this specific game and definitely not guarantee at all. There usually are better game titles this weekend with more clear-cut benefits.
The final score in this game was Louisville 44, West California 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles and even allowed Lousiville to come back some sort of punt for a new TD. The results was that will West Virginia’s edge weren’t so big that they can still win after making so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this particular game, people significant regarding sports betting saved money that they can put to better work with on coming games.